Trends of Ukraine’s Freight Transport Sector During the War
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.36690/2674-5208-2025-4-17-32Keywords:
transport, full-scare war, logistics chain, bottleneck, carriage, trends, challengers, European integrationAbstract
The article is devoted to the study of transport development trends under the effect of the war. The objective of the study is to conduct comprehensive analysis of trends of freight transport transformation under the war-time conditions. Ukraine has been in a state of a full-scale war for the fourth year; and the transport infrastructure has suffered significant damages. In particular, the russian invasion has caused the cessation of air, river and partly maritime transport, overall drop of transportation volumes. A sharp deterioration in dynamics of transportation and forced changes of transport and economic connections due to the displacement of the origin and destination points of cargo flows are clearly observed. Among the negative factors there are the lack of qualified personnel due to the mobilization for the defense needs and also the fleeing of about 6 million people abroad. Analysis of dynamics of freight carriage by transport of Ukraine, volume of cargo handling has been provided. Challenges, new trends and risks for transport in Ukraine have been assessed. One of the biggest bottlenecks in the freight transport has been identified - the insufficient capacity of checkpoints on the border with the EU. The research methodology is based on systemic analysis of official Ukrainian government documents, expert assessment by the World Bank and the European Commission for transport industry. Analysis of the National Transport Strategy of Ukraine until 2030, the Strategy for Development and Expansion of Boarder infrastructure with the EU, recent laws for road and rail transport has been provided. Procedure for implementation aquas communitare for transport industry has been analyzed. Some solutions for improvement of the transport logistics between Ukraine and EU countries are discussed. Along with the negative trends, there are also discussed some positive prospects. Transport development priorities have been reoriented, and some reforms are being carried out in the industry in accordance with the principles of the European transport policy. Logistic chains are somehow improved thanks to the construction of dry ports near the state boarder with EU, building of links with EU railway track 1420 mm, development of multimodal transportation. Ukraine's experience has become unique in many ways.
Downloads
References
World Bank, Government of Ukraine, European Union, & United Nations. (2025). Ukraine: Fourth Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (RDNA4): February 2022–December 2024. World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/entities/publication/0f04dfe0-41ea-410f-bdd9-4d2bc9d40569
National Council for the Recovery of Ukraine, & Kyiv School of Economics. (2024). Report on damages to infrastructure from the destruction caused by Russia’s military aggression against Ukraine as of January 2024. https://kse.ua/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Eng_01.01.24_Damages_Report.pdf
Novikova, A., Lytvynenko, S., Yashchenko, T., Voitsehovskiy, V., Dehtiar, Z., & Ovchar, P. (2024). SWOT analysis of Ukraine’s transport industry. MATEC Web of Conferences, 439, 03001. https://doi.org/10.1051/matecconf/202439003001
Pavlenko, O., Muzylyov, D., Ivanov, V., Bartoszuk, M., & Jóźwik, J. (2023). Management of the grain supply chain during the conflict period: Case study Ukraine. Acta Logistica, 10(3), 393–402. https://doi.org/10.22306/al.v10i3.405
Jacyna-Gołda, I., Shmygol, N., Gavkalova, N., & Salwin, M. (2024). Sustainable development of intermodal freight transportation through the integration of logistics flows in Ukraine and Poland. Sustainability, 16(1), 267. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16010267
Novikova, A., & Symonenko, R. (2022). Sea ports of Ukraine during the Russian aggression. European Journal of Maritime Research, 1(1), 7–10. https://www.ej-maritime.org/index.php/maritime/article/view/7/3
Carter, C. A., & Steinbach, S. (2023). Did grain futures prices overreact to the Russia–Ukraine war? (Munich Personal RePEc Archive Paper No. 118248). Munich Personal RePEc Archive. https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/118248/
European Commission. (n.d.). EU-Ukraine Solidarity Lanes. Retrieved December 28, 2025, from https://commission.europa.eu/topics/eu-solidarity-ukraine/eu-assistance-ukraine/eu-ukraine-solidarity-lanes_en
Goyal, R., & Steinbach, S. (2023). Agricultural commodity markets in the wake of the Black Sea Grain Initiative. Economics Letters, 231, 111297. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111297
Bodnar, O., Halchynska, Yu., Larina, Ya., Filatova, A., & Stepanets, I. (2024). Logistics transformation on grain and oilseeds markets during the war in Ukraine: Marketing approaches and strategies. Scientific Horizons, 27(9), 134–147. https://doi.org/10.48077/scihor9.2024.134
Yanovska, V., Król, M., & Pittman, R. (2025). The logistics of grain exports from wartime Ukraine: What are the highest priority areas to address? Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives, 30, 101363. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2025.101363
Lousada, S., Delehan, S., Naranjo Gómez, J. M., Gallardo, J. M., Mandryk, O., & Khorolskyi, A. (2024). Bridging the gap: Overcoming the 85 mm railway gauge difference between Ukraine and Europe using principles of circular economy and European service quality standards. Journal of Infrastructure, Policy and Development, 8(16), 10555. https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd10555
European Union, & Ukraine. (2022). Agreement between the European Union and Ukraine on the carriage of freight by road. https://transport.ec.europa.eu/system/files/2022-06/Agreement_EU_Ukraine_carriage_of_freight_by_road.pdf
Verkhovna Rada Ukrainy. (n.d.). Zakon Ukrainy “Pro vnesennia zmin do Zakonu Ukrainy “Pro avtomobilnyi transport” shchodo udoskonalennia rehuliuvannia rynku pasazhyrskykh ta vantazhnykh perevezen avtomobilnym transportom” [Law of Ukraine “On amendments to the Law of Ukraine ‘On Road Transport’ on improving regulation of the passenger and cargo road transport market”] (No. 4337-IX). https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/4337-20#Text
European Parliament, & Council of the European Union. (2009). Regulation (EC) No 1071/2009 of 21 October 2009 establishing common rules concerning the conditions to be complied with to pursue the occupation of road transport operator and repealing Council Directive 96/26/EC. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2009/1071/oj/eng
International Transport Forum. (n.d.). Quality Charter for international road haulage operations under the ECMT multilateral quota system. Retrieved December 28, 2025, from https://www.itf-oecd.org/node/19909
European Parliament, & Council of the European Union. (2020). Regulation (EU) 2020/1054 of 15 July 2020 amending Regulation (EC) No 561/2006 as regards minimum requirements on maximum daily and weekly driving times, minimum breaks and daily and weekly rest periods and Regulation (EU) No 165/2014 as regards positioning by means of tachographs. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2020/1054/oj/eng
European Parliament, & Council of the European Union. (2020). Regulation (EU) 2020/1055 of 15 July 2020 amending Regulations (EC) No 1071/2009, (EC) No 1072/2009 and (EU) No 1024/2012 with a view to adapting them to developments in the road transport sector. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2020/1055/oj/eng
European Parliament, & Council of the European Union. (2020). Regulation (EU) 2020/1056 of 15 July 2020 on electronic freight transport information. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2020/1056/oj/eng
European Parliament, & Council of the European Union. (2020). Directive (EU) 2020/1057 of 15 July 2020 laying down specific rules with respect to Directive 96/71/EC and Directive 2014/67/EU for posting drivers in the road transport sector and amending Directive 2006/22/EC as regards enforcement requirements and Regulation (EU) No 1024/2012. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2020/1057/oj/eng
Verkhovna Rada Ukrainy. (2024, October 21). Proiekt Zakonu “Pro systemu ta osoblyvosti funktsionuvannia rynku zaliznychnoho transportu Ukrainy” [Draft Law “On the system and specific features of functioning of the railway transport market of Ukraine”] (No. 12142). https://itd.rada.gov.ua/billinfo/Bills/Card/45100
Kabinet Ministriv Ukrainy. (2024). Pro zatverdzhennia Stratehii rozvytku ta rozshyrennia prykordonnoi infrastruktury z krainamy Yevropeiskoho Soiuzu ta Respublikoiu Moldova do 2030 roku ta Operatsiinoho planu zakhodiv z yii realizatsii u 2024–2030 rokakh [On approval of the strategy for the development and expansion of border infrastructure with EU countries and the Republic of Moldova until 2030 and the operational plan for 2024–2030]. https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/1337-2024-%D1%80#Text
Kabinet Ministriv Ukrainy. (2022, December 2). Pro osoblyvosti realizatsii eksperymentalnoho proektu z orhanizatsii upravlinnia cherhamy avtomobilnykh transportnykh zasobiv pered mizhnarodnymy punktamy propusku cherez derzhavnyi kordon Ukrainy dlia avtomobilnoho spoluchennia za dopomohoiu elektronnoi systemy “Elektronna cherha peretynu kordonu” [On the specifics of implementing an experimental project to manage queues of road vehicles before international checkpoints using the “Electronic border crossing queue” system] (No. 1349). https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/1349-2022-%D0%BF#Text
Joint Committee Established by the Agreement between the European Union and Ukraine on the Carriage of Freight by Road. (2025, January 17). Decision No 2/2025 as regards the recognition of smart tachographs for the enforcement of the Agreement and the provision by the European Commission of smart tachograph certification services to Ukraine. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dec/2025/409/oj/eng
Ostroverkh, R. (2024, November 6). Intermodal freight transport as alternative delivery [Conference presentation]. Ukrainian Logistics Forum 2024. https://summitbiz.com.ua/ukrainian-logistics-forum-2024/
Verkhovna Rada Ukrainy. (2022, August 15). Pro vnesennia zmin do Mytnoho kodeksu Ukrainy ta inshykh zakoniv Ukrainy shchodo deiakykh pytan vykonannia hlavy 5 rozdilu IV Uhody pro asotsiatsiiu mizh Ukrainoiu ta Yevropeiskym Soiuzom [On amendments to the Customs Code of Ukraine and other laws regarding certain issues of implementation of Chapter 5 of Section IV of the Association Agreement] (No. 2510-IX). https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/2510-20#Text
Ministerstvo rozvytku hromad ta terytorii Ukrainy. (2024, December 27). Pro zatverdzhennia Poriadku funktsionuvannia systemy elektronnoho dokumentoobihu “elektronna tovarno-transportna nakladna” [On approval of the procedure for functioning of the electronic document flow system “electronic consignment note”] (No. 1491). https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/z0259-25
Kabinet Ministriv Ukrainy. (2024, December 27). Natsionalna transportna stratehiia Ukrainy na period do 2030 roku[National Transport Strategy of Ukraine until 2030] (No. 1550). https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/1550-2024-%D0%BF#n17
Kabinet Ministriv Ukrainy. (2024, December 27). Operatsiinyi plan zakhodiv z realizatsii Natsionalnoi transportnoi stratehii Ukrainy na 2025–2027 roky [Operational action plan for implementing the National Transport Strategy of Ukraine for 2025–2027] (No. 1550). https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/1550-2024-%D0%BF#n19
Ministry for Development of Communities and Territories of Ukraine. (2025, November 6). First €73.5 million allocated for the European-gauge railway to Lviv: Grant agreement awarded. https://mindev.gov.ua/en/news/rozbudova-ievrokolii-do-lvova-vidbulos-vruchennia-hrantovoi-uhody-dlia-realizatsii-proiektu
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.